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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Rapid Wien

RAP

LASK

LAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rapid Wien50%
Draw25%
LASK26%

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.25

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LASK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

53%Possession55%
39%Territory46%
7%From set plays29%
0.20Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rapid Wien, 3 for LASK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.