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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Ried

RIE

WSG Tirol

WSG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ried31%
Draw27%
WSG Tirol42%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.52

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

46%Possession55%
35%Territory34%
26%From set plays47%
0.10Chance quality0.14
8.1%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Ried, 3 for WSG Tirol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.