Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
Ried
RIE
WSG Tirol
WSG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ried46%
Draw27%
WSG Tirol27%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.19
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession51%
38%Territory34%
16%From set plays18%
0.16Chance quality0.08
5.5%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ried, 3 for WSG Tirol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.