Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Ried
RIE
Hartberg
HAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ried38%
Draw27%
Hartberg35%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.42
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession38%
35%Territory24%
26%From set plays57%
0.10Chance quality0.17
8.1%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Ried, 2 for Hartberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.