Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Ried
RIE
Hartberg
HAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ried36%
Draw27%
Hartberg37%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.42
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–18.7%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession52%
38%Territory35%
16%From set plays13%
0.16Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ried, 3 for Hartberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.