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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Grazer AK

GRA

Altach

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grazer AK47%
Draw29%
Altach25%

Expected goals

1.41 – 0.97

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.4%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

54%Possession52%
47%Territory33%
48%From set plays27%
0.06Chance quality0.06
7.7%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Grazer AK, 2 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.