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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Grazer AK

GRA

Altach

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grazer AK35%
Draw29%
Altach36%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.27

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–09.2%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Grazer AK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession44%
34%Territory39%
47%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.06
8.1%Directness8.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grazer AK, 3 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.