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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Austria Wien

AUS

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Austria Wien47%
Draw28%
Wolfsberger AC26%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.07

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–08.8%
  • 0–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Austria Wien will have the ball; Wolfsberger AC will not mind.

47%Possession31%
35%Territory28%
31%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.05
7.3%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Wien, 3 for Wolfsberger AC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.