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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Austria Lustenau

AUS

Rapid Wien

RAP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Austria Lustenau12%
Draw17%
Rapid Wien71%

Expected goals

0.98 – 2.49

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–29.9%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 1–37.9%
  • 0–37.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rapid Wien will have the ball; Austria Lustenau will not mind.

37%Possession53%
33%Territory39%
8%From set plays7%
0.09Chance quality0.20
6.6%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Lustenau, 3 for Rapid Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.