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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Austria Lustenau

AUT

Rapid Wien

RAP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Austria Lustenau31%
Draw26%
Rapid Wien44%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.62

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession55%
33%Territory42%
14%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.9%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Austria Lustenau, 3 for Rapid Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.