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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Ried

RIE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsberger AC34%
Draw28%
Ried38%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.34

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsberger AC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

42%Possession48%
33%Territory38%
31%From set plays16%
0.08Chance quality0.16
9.2%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsberger AC, 3 for Ried. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.