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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Ried

RIE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsberger AC36%
Draw28%
Ried36%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.35

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

31%Possession46%
28%Territory35%
31%From set plays26%
0.05Chance quality0.10
7.1%Directness8.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsberger AC, 2 for Ried. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.