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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

WSG Tirol

WSG

Austria Lustenau

AUT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

WSG Tirol56%
Draw24%
Austria Lustenau20%

Expected goals

1.86 – 1.06

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

55%Possession45%
34%Territory33%
47%From set plays14%
0.14Chance quality0.11
4.7%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for WSG Tirol, 2 for Austria Lustenau. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.