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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

WSG Tirol

WSG

Austria Lustenau

AUS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

WSG Tirol61%
Draw22%
Austria Lustenau18%

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.05

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

WSG Tirol will have the ball; Austria Lustenau will not mind.

51%Possession37%
34%Territory33%
18%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.09
7.4%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for WSG Tirol, 3 for Austria Lustenau. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.