Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
LASK
LAS
Hartberg
HAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LASK57%
Draw22%
Hartberg20%
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.18
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
66%Possession38%
54%Territory24%
30%From set plays57%
0.12Chance quality0.17
7.3%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LASK, 2 for Hartberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.