Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
LASK
LAS
Hartberg
HAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LASK48%
Draw25%
Hartberg26%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.23
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
LASK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession52%
46%Territory35%
29%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.6%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LASK, 3 for Hartberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.