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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

LASK

LAS

Hartberg

HAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LASK48%
Draw25%
Hartberg26%

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.23

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LASK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

55%Possession52%
46%Territory35%
29%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.6%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LASK, 3 for Hartberg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.