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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

Grazer AK

GRA

Rapid Wien

RAP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grazer AK17%
Draw21%
Rapid Wien62%

Expected goals

1.06 – 2.10

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–210.0%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 0–29.4%
  • 1–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Grazer AK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession53%
34%Territory39%
47%From set plays7%
0.10Chance quality0.20
8.1%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grazer AK, 3 for Rapid Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.