Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
Altach
ALT
Sturm Graz
STU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Altach27%
Draw29%
Sturm Graz45%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.40
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–112.6%
- 0–09.9%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sturm Graz will have the ball; Altach will not mind.
44%Possession55%
39%Territory36%
26%From set plays25%
0.06Chance quality0.12
8.4%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Altach, 3 for Sturm Graz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.