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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

WSG Tirol

WSG

Austria Wien

AUT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

WSG Tirol44%
Draw27%
Austria Wien29%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.21

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession58%
34%Territory38%
18%From set plays31%
0.08Chance quality0.11
7.4%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for WSG Tirol, 3 for Austria Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.