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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

WSG Tirol

WSG

Austria Wien

AUS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

WSG Tirol53%
Draw25%
Austria Wien21%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.01

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.9%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

WSG Tirol get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

55%Possession47%
34%Territory35%
47%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.09
4.7%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for WSG Tirol, 3 for Austria Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.