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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Ried

RIE

LASK

LAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ried27%
Draw24%
LASK49%

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.83

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.6%
  • 129.5%
  • 018.4%
  • 027.0%
  • 216.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

46%Possession66%
35%Territory54%
26%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.12
8.1%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Ried, 3 for LASK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.