Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Hartberg
HAR
Altach
ALT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hartberg48%
Draw27%
Altach25%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.09
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
38%Possession52%
24%Territory33%
57%From set plays27%
0.17Chance quality0.06
7.0%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Hartberg, 2 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.