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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Hartberg

HAR

Altach

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hartberg48%
Draw27%
Altach25%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.09

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 1011.4%
  • 219.4%
  • 208.3%
  • 007.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

38%Possession52%
24%Territory33%
57%From set plays27%
0.17Chance quality0.06
7.0%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Hartberg, 2 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.