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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Hartberg

HAR

Altach

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hartberg52%
Draw27%
Altach21%

Expected goals

1.56 – 0.93

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.4%
  • 1–112.0%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hartberg will have the ball; Altach will not mind.

52%Possession44%
35%Territory39%
13%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.06
7.9%Directness8.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hartberg, 3 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.