Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Austria Lustenau
AUS
Grazer AK
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Austria Lustenau35%
Draw25%
Grazer AK40%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.64
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.9%
- 0–17.3%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Grazer AK will have the ball; Austria Lustenau will not mind.
37%Possession46%
33%Territory34%
8%From set plays47%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.6%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Lustenau, 3 for Grazer AK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.