Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Sturm Graz

STU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsberger AC31%
Draw27%
Sturm Graz42%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.53

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

31%Possession40%
28%Territory34%
31%From set plays29%
0.05Chance quality0.15
7.1%Directness8.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsberger AC, 2 for Sturm Graz. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.