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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

Austria Wien

AUS

Rapid Wien

RAP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Austria Wien32%
Draw27%
Rapid Wien41%

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.48

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rapid Wien will have the ball; Austria Wien will not mind.

47%Possession55%
35%Territory42%
31%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.13
7.3%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Wien, 3 for Rapid Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.