Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 11
Altach
ALT
Ried
RIE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Altach39%
Draw28%
Ried33%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.25
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession46%
33%Territory35%
27%From set plays26%
0.06Chance quality0.10
7.0%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Altach, 2 for Ried. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.