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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

WSG Tirol

WSG

Grazer AK

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

WSG Tirol48%
Draw27%
Grazer AK25%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.03

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.4%
  • 1112.3%
  • 219.3%
  • 009.0%
  • 208.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

55%Possession54%
34%Territory47%
47%From set plays48%
0.14Chance quality0.06
4.7%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for WSG Tirol, 2 for Grazer AK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.