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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Rapid Wien

RAP

Austria Lustenau

AUT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rapid Wien56%
Draw23%
Austria Lustenau21%

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.13

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

55%Possession45%
42%Territory33%
21%From set plays14%
0.13Chance quality0.11
4.6%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rapid Wien, 2 for Austria Lustenau. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.