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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Hartberg

HAR

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hartberg52%
Draw25%
Wolfsberger AC22%

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.06

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 1011.3%
  • 219.7%
  • 208.8%
  • 007.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

38%Possession31%
24%Territory28%
57%From set plays31%
0.17Chance quality0.05
7.0%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Hartberg, 3 for Wolfsberger AC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.