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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

WSG Tirol

WSG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsberger AC26%
Draw27%
WSG Tirol47%

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.52

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–111.5%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–08.3%
  • 1–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

WSG Tirol will have the ball; Wolfsberger AC will not mind.

31%Possession55%
28%Territory34%
31%From set plays47%
0.05Chance quality0.14
7.1%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsberger AC, 3 for WSG Tirol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.