Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

Sturm Graz

STU

Grazer AK

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sturm Graz44%
Draw27%
Grazer AK29%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.22

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

40%Possession54%
34%Territory47%
29%From set plays48%
0.15Chance quality0.06
8.1%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sturm Graz, 2 for Grazer AK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.