Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 9
Rapid Wien
RAP
Hartberg
HAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rapid Wien50%
Draw25%
Hartberg26%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.23
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession38%
42%Territory24%
21%From set plays57%
0.13Chance quality0.17
4.6%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rapid Wien, 2 for Hartberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.