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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

Ried

RIE

Austria Wien

AUS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ried42%
Draw27%
Austria Wien30%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.25

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

46%Possession47%
35%Territory35%
26%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.09
8.1%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Ried, 3 for Austria Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.