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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

Austria Lustenau

AUT

LASK

LAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Austria Lustenau25%
Draw24%
LASK51%

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.88

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 0–27.3%
  • 2–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession66%
33%Territory54%
14%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.12
7.9%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Austria Lustenau, 3 for LASK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.