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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

Ried

RIE

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ried48%
Draw26%
Wolfsberger AC26%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.14

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 1010.8%
  • 219.4%
  • 207.9%
  • 017.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

46%Possession31%
35%Territory28%
26%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.05
8.1%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Ried, 3 for Wolfsberger AC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.