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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

Grazer AK

GRA

Austria Wien

AUS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grazer AK45%
Draw28%
Austria Wien26%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.04

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–012.6%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

54%Possession47%
47%Territory35%
48%From set plays31%
0.06Chance quality0.09
7.7%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Grazer AK, 3 for Austria Wien. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.