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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

Austria Lustenau

AUT

Altach

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Austria Lustenau42%
Draw28%
Altach30%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.21

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession52%
33%Territory33%
14%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.06
7.9%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Austria Lustenau, 2 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.