League Two · Matchweek 23
Rochdale
ROC
Chesterfield
CHS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rochdale17%
Draw20%
Chesterfield62%
Expected goals
1.12 – 2.20
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.0%
- 0–28.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 1–37.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Rochdale will not mind.
56%Possession66%
26%Territory46%
38%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rochdale, 3 for Chesterfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chesterfield
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.