League Two · Matchweek 23
Newport County
NEW
Barnet
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newport32%
Draw24%
Barnet43%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.77
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.5%
- 0–17.0%
- 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barnet will have the ball; Newport will not mind.
39%Possession58%
31%Territory42%
43%From set plays56%
0.11Chance quality0.13
9.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newport, 4 for Barnet. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.