League Two · Matchweek 23
Gillingham
GIL
Exeter City
EXE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gillingham41%
Draw29%
Exeter30%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.11
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–09.8%
- 0–19.6%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Gillingham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession44%
27%Territory36%
43%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.08
7.7%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Gillingham, 4 for Exeter.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gillingham
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.