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League Two · Matchweek 23

Colchester United

COL

Rotherham United

ROT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Colchester55%
Draw24%
Rotherham22%

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.12

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 3–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Colchester will have the ball; Rotherham will not mind.

50%Possession41%
35%Territory28%
32%From set plays27%
0.15Chance quality0.13
6.9%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Colchester, 3 for Rotherham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.