League Two · Matchweek 23
Accrington Stanley
ACC
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Accrington50%
Draw26%
Shrewsbury25%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.15
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Shrewsbury will have the ball; Accrington will not mind.
46%Possession55%
39%Territory40%
34%From set plays62%
0.08Chance quality0.12
7.7%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Accrington, 3 for Shrewsbury. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shrewsbury
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.