League Two · Matchweek 22
York City
YOR
Fleetwood Town
FLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
York City49%
Draw24%
Fleetwood27%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.31
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Fleetwood will not mind.
64%Possession51%
33%Territory36%
29%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for York City, 4 for Fleetwood. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.