League Two · Matchweek 22
Walsall
WAL
Chesterfield
CHS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Walsall42%
Draw24%
Chesterfield34%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.65
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Walsall will not mind.
54%Possession66%
30%Territory46%
24%From set plays17%
0.18Chance quality0.12
7.8%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Walsall, 3 for Chesterfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chesterfield
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.