League Two · Matchweek 22
Rochdale
ROC
Salford City
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rochdale24%
Draw27%
Salford49%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.59
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–111.8%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–28.6%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Rochdale will not mind.
50%Possession61%
29%Territory33%
31%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rochdale, 3 for Salford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.