League Two · Matchweek 22
Rochdale
ROC
Salford City
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rochdale20%
Draw22%
Salford58%
Expected goals
1.14 – 2.04
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 0–19.1%
- 0–28.7%
- 1–36.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rochdale get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession55%
26%Territory32%
38%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.08
3.7%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rochdale, 3 for Salford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.