League Two · Matchweek 22
Newport County
NEW
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newport45%
Draw24%
Shrewsbury31%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.46
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–07.4%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Shrewsbury will have the ball; Newport will not mind.
39%Possession55%
31%Territory40%
43%From set plays64%
0.11Chance quality0.12
9.7%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newport, 3 for Shrewsbury. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shrewsbury
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.