League Two · Matchweek 22
Grimsby Town
GRI
Oldham Athletic
OLD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grimsby53%
Draw24%
Oldham24%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.22
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–26.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Grimsby will have the ball; Oldham will not mind.
56%Possession47%
36%Territory37%
26%From set plays35%
0.15Chance quality0.12
8.6%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Grimsby, 3 for Oldham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.