League Two · Matchweek 22
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crewe42%
Draw30%
Tranmere28%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.04
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–19.9%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tranmere get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession46%
29%Territory35%
15%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Crewe, 3 for Tranmere. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.