League Two · Matchweek 22
Accrington Stanley
ACC
Rotherham United
ROT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Accrington40%
Draw25%
Rotherham34%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.51
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rotherham will have the ball; Accrington will not mind.
40%Possession54%
31%Territory42%
30%From set plays5%
0.16Chance quality0.12
8.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Accrington, 3 for Rotherham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.