League Two · Matchweek 21
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
Accrington Stanley
ACC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tranmere43%
Draw25%
Accrington32%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.48
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–27.5%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tranmere will have the ball; Accrington will not mind.
48%Possession40%
36%Territory31%
19%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.16
9.4%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tranmere, 3 for Accrington. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.