League Two · Matchweek 21
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Swindon Town
SWI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shrewsbury46%
Draw25%
Swindon29%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.38
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Shrewsbury get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession48%
40%Territory35%
64%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.12
8.4%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Shrewsbury, 3 for Swindon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shrewsbury
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.