League Two · Matchweek 21
Salford City
SAL
Grimsby Town
GRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salford35%
Draw27%
Grimsby39%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.49
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 1–28.5%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession56%
33%Territory36%
34%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.15
4.2%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salford, 4 for Grimsby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.