League Two · Matchweek 21
Rotherham United
ROT
Rochdale
ROC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rotherham51%
Draw24%
Rochdale25%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.29
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rochdale will have the ball; Rotherham will not mind.
41%Possession56%
28%Territory26%
27%From set plays38%
0.13Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rotherham, 4 for Rochdale. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Rotherham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.