League Two · Matchweek 21
Oldham Athletic
OLD
York City
YOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Oldham43%
Draw25%
York City32%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.48
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–07.5%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Oldham will not mind.
47%Possession64%
37%Territory33%
35%From set plays29%
0.12Chance quality0.12
8.1%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Oldham, 3 for York City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.