League Two · Matchweek 21
Oldham Athletic
OLD
York City
YOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Oldham54%
Draw23%
York City23%
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.23
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–07.8%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Oldham will not mind.
46%Possession55%
41%Territory26%
37%From set plays14%
0.12Chance quality0.07
8.5%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Oldham, 4 for York City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.