League Two · Matchweek 21
Crawley Town
CRA
Gillingham
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crawley38%
Draw26%
Gillingham36%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.45
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley will have the ball; Gillingham will not mind.
64%Possession46%
39%Territory28%
25%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.11
4.5%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Crawley, 4 for Gillingham.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.