League Two · Matchweek 21
Chesterfield
CHS
Northampton Town
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chesterfield55%
Draw26%
Northampton19%
Expected goals
1.66 – 0.90
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Northampton will not mind.
66%Possession49%
46%Territory41%
17%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.08
5.2%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chesterfield, 3 for Northampton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chesterfield
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.