League Two · Matchweek 21
Cheltenham Town
CHE
Port Vale
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cheltenham45%
Draw26%
Port Vale29%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.27
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.3%
- 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Port Vale will have the ball; Cheltenham will not mind.
39%Possession49%
26%Territory35%
34%From set plays34%
0.16Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cheltenham, 3 for Port Vale. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.