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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League Two · Matchweek 21

Bristol Rovers

BRI

Walsall

WAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bristol Rovers40%
Draw28%
Walsall32%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.24

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Walsall will have the ball; Bristol Rovers will not mind.

46%Possession57%
41%Territory34%
38%From set plays35%
0.07Chance quality0.08
9.2%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bristol Rovers, 3 for Walsall. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.